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Today, we know that bloodletting is unhelpful because in 1828 a Parisian doctor named Pierre Louis did a controlled experiment. He treated 78 people suffering from pneumonia with early and frequent bloodletting or less aggressive measures and found that bloodletting did not help survival rates or recovery times.

Having roots in agriculture and medicine, controlled experiments have spread into the online world of websites and services. In an earlier Web Technologies article (R. Kohavi and R. Longobotham, “Online Experiments: Lessons Learned,” Computer, Sept. 2007, pp. 85-87) and a related survey (R. Kohavi et al., “Controlled Experiments on the Web: Survey and Practical Guide,” Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, Feb. 2009, pp. 140-181), Microsoft’s Experimentation Platform team introduced basic practices of good online experimentation.

Three years later and having run hundreds of experiments on more than 20 websites, including some of the world’s largest, like and, we have learned some important practical lessons about the limitations of standard statistical formulas and about data traps. These lessons, even for seemingly simple univariate experiments, aren’t taught in Statistics 101. After reading this article we hope you will have better negative introspection: to know what you don’t know.

Online Experimentation at Microsoft, Sept 2009 Ron Kohavi, Thomas Crook, and Roger Longbotham

The paper won 3rd place at the Third Workshop on Data Mining Case Studies and Practice Prize .

Abstract: Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining techniques are now commonly used to find novel, potentially useful, patterns in data (Fayyad, et al., 1996; Chapman, et al., 2000). Most KDD applications involve post-hoc analysis of data and are therefore mostly limited to the identification of correlations. Recent seminal work on Quasi-Experimental Designs (Jensen, et al., 2008) attempts to identify causal relationships. Controlled experiments are a standard technique used in multiple fields. Through randomization and proper design, experiments allow establishing causality scientifically, which is why they are the gold standard in drug tests. In software development, multiple techniques are used to define product requirements; controlled experiments provide a way to assess the impact of new features on customer behavior. The Data Mining Case Studies workshop calls for describing completed implementations related to data mining. Over the last three years, we built an experimentation platform system (ExP) at Microsoft, capable of running and analyzing controlled experiments on web sites and services. The goal is to accelerate innovation through trustworthy experimentation and to enable a more scientific approach to planning and prioritization of features and designs (Foley, 2008).Along the way, we ran many experiments on over a dozen Microsoft properties and had to tackle both technical and cultural challenges. We previously surveyed the literature on controlled experiments and shared technical challenges (Kohavi, et al., 2009). This paper focuses on problems not commonly addressed in technical papers: cultural challenges, lessons, and the ROI of running controlled experiments.

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Sunday, September 25, 2016 - 1:00pm to 4:00pm
Riverwood Winery

We will have six wines from around the world for you to try! Please come out and enjoy one of the International wines or one of our Riverwood Winery wines.

Event URL:

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Sunday, September 25, 2016 - 1:00pm to 4:00pm
Chaumette Vineyard Winery

Holly Benton is a singer/songwriter. She and Kevin Engert met at a party for musicians and have been performing together for the past year. Kevin, a multi instrumentalist is also a songwriter. Holly and Kevin released their first album "Real" July 2015. The eleven original songs on the album were written by both artists.

Augusta Bottoms Consort Live at
Sunday, September 25, 2016 - 2:00pm to 5:00pm
Blumenhof Winery

The Augusta Bottoms Consort (Folk/Eclectic Quartet) will perform at Blumenhof Winery in Dutzow, MO on Sunday, September 25 from 2-5pm.

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Thursday, September 29, 2016 - 7:00pm to 9:00pm
Jowler Creek Winery

Looking for a good excuse to get together with your girlfriends to whine…and drink some wine? At this month’s “Women Who Wine” event you’ll be able to visit with friends, make a set of 5 Cork Spiders to take home, and sip on some wine. Light appetizers will also be served. Cost: $19/person (or $16.15/person for Creek Club members) which includes one alcoholic or non-alcoholic beverage of your choice, light appetizers, and all the supplies you need to make your craft. Reservations and pre-payment are required for this event. Reserve your spot by calling (816) 858-5528.

Pig Roast Weekend at Blumenhof Winery!
Friday, September 30, 2016 - 11:00am to Sunday, October 2, 2016 - 8:00pm
Blumenhof Winery

Join us at Blumenhof Winery as we kick off Oktoberfest with our PIG ROAST WEEKEND!

Food will be available Friday, September 30 from 5-8pm; Saturday, October 1 from noon to 8pm; and ending Sunday, October 2 from noon to 5:30pm, with live music every day.

Free Live Entertainment Schedule for the Pig Roast Weekend:

Friday, September 30 5-8pm Downstream (Folk Duo)

Saturday, October 111am-3pm Marissa Harms (Country/Pop)

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Saturday, April 22, 2017 - 2:00pm to 5:00pm
Blumenhof Winery

Marissa Harms (Pop/Country) will perform at Blumenhof Winery inDutzow, MO on Saturday, April 22from 2-5pm.

Stone Hill Winery Grapes to Glass
Saturday, April 22, 2017 - 2:30pm to 4:30pm
Stone Hill Winery
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Saturday, April 22, 2017 - 6:00pm to 9:00pm
Adam Puchta Winery
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Saturday, April 22, 2017 - 7:00pm to 9:00pm
West Winery - Downtown Macon

Please Note: There is no cover to come in and enjoy the music.Ticket isonly required for the Shrimp Boil.

Come on down for our Shrimp Boil at West Winery!The meal includes: freshLouisiana shrimp, Kilbasa, corn, potatoes, and mushrooms.

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**Tickets are $25.00 each, and we are limiting sales to 50 tickets total**


Dave Dyno and the ROADKILL ORCHESTRA will be live at West Winery from7-9pm.

Band Bio: Dave and Dyno with the Roadkill Orchestra ain’t perfect but Damnit’s entertaining. This group of Midwestern River Billies have beendescribed as a cross between Flat Scruggs and Cheech and Chong and plays abrand of music that cannot be pigeonholed into to any one genre. All you canbe sure of is a good time and infectious tunes that will make you smile.

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Event URL:

Tipple Hill Winery Vineyard- Music
Saturday, April 22, 2017 - 7:00pm to 9:30pm
Tipple Hill Winery

Music by Erica McKenzie

One Woman Band

Dye Sip Party at Adam
Sunday, April 23, 2017 - 2:00pm to 4:00pm
Adam Puchta Winery
Zero Friction Live at Blumenhof Winery
Sunday, April 23, 2017 - 2:00pm to 5:00pm
Blumenhof Winery

Event Description: Zero Friction (Acoustic Rock Duo) will perform atBlumenhof Winery in Dutzow, MO on Sunday, April 23 from 2-5pm.

3100 Highland Avenue S.
Birmingham, AL 35205
© 2018 Independent Presbyterian Church
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